13th International Congress
THE "NEW FRONTIERS"
OF ARRHYTHMIAS 1998

January 24-31, 1998
Marilleva, Trento, Italy

RT-31

New noninvasive electrocardiographic markers of sudden death risk in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Mustafa A. Murda'h, Gang Yi, Perry Elliott, William J. McKenna.
Department of Cardiological Sciences, St. George's Hospital
Medical School, London, UK

T wave alternans

T wave alternans (TWA), defined as a consistent beat-to-beat variation of the T wave morphology and/or polarity during sinus rhythm, has been shown to be associated with a with ventricular arrhythmias in acute myocardial ischaemia and infarction, stable coronary artery disease, prolonged QT syndrome and dilated cardiomyopathy2. It is postulated that ischaemia induced alternation in action potential morphology, dispersion of repolarisation and changes in recovery of excitability may play an important role in both the susceptibility to ventricular fibrillation and the genesis of TWA4,5. Recently, microvolt TWA measured during atrial pacing (spectral analytical method), has been associated with the inducibility of sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) or ventricular fibrillation (VF) during electrophysiology testing5. The non-invasive assessment of exercise induced TWA in patients with a history of ventricular tachyarrhythmias has been shown to be comparable to the results of atrial pacing in predicting ventricular vulnerability6,7.
In a pilot study of 64 patients (48 male, age 33 ± 12 years) with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, seven of whom had documented episodes of sustained ventricular tachycardia and/or ventricular fibrillation, exercise-induced TWA was highly associated with a history of VT/VF events (sensitivity 100%, specificity 53%, p < 0.01)8.
More recently, we have assessed microvolt TWA in 168 patients with HCM and 15 patients with hypertension (unpublished data). In this study patients were considered to be at high risk of SCD if they had been successfully resuscitated after documented sustained VT and/or VF arrest or had two or more of the established risk factors for SCD. Exercise-induced microvolt TWA was significantly associated with a high risk of SCD: 78% of patients at low risk (< 1 risk factor for SCD) had negative TWA and 58% of patients at high risk of SCD (< 2 risk factors for SCD) had positive TWA. Table I demonstrates the predictive value of TWA for patients with two or more risk factors for SCD. In this study, the combination of TWA with any of the established risk factors for SCD (FHSCD, SYN, FBP and NSVT) improved the sensitivity and positive predictive accuracy for SCD. Table II demonstrates the relation of TWA to established risk factors for the prediction of VT/VF events in 11 patients with a history of cardiac arrest. In the small cohort of patients with essential hypertension and no history of coronary artery disease and ventricular arrhythmias were also studied, 81% of them had negative TWA scores, supporting the hypothesis that myocardial disarray and extensive fibrosis, which are not usually seen in patients with hypertension but are characteristic findings in HCM, contribute to the dispersion of repolarisation and inhomogeneity of ventricular refractoriness that probably causes TWA. A limitation of this study was that thirty-six per cent of patients had "indeterminate" TWA scores during exercise due to frequent ectopic beats and increased level of noise created by interference signals from motion artefact (breathing, pedalling). Recently, new noise reduction techniques have been utilised to compute alternans, in particular the upgrading of software to differentiate between artefactual and physiologic alternans, and the use of continuous measurement of electrode impedance to reduce the artefact resulting from movement.

Table I - Predictive value of TWA for patients with two or more risk factors for sudden cardiac death

Sens.

Spec.

PPV

NPV

p

55%

63%

39%

76%

0.03

Sens. = sensitivity; PPV = positive predictive value; Spec. = specificity; NPV = negative predictive value.


Table II - The sensitivity and positive predictive value of TWA for VT/VF events in relation to established risk for sudden cardiac death

 

FHSCD

SYN

AbnBP

NSVT

risk factor
Sensitivity
Pos. pred. value
p value


30
5
0.7


36
13
0.7


60
16
0.02


63
14
0.02

risk factors + twa
Sensitivity
Pos. pred. value
p value


57
14
0.01


43
20
0.03


71
25
0.0001


43
17
0.01

FHSCD = family history of premature sudden cardiac death; NSVT = nonsustained ventricular tachycardia; AbnBP = flat or hypotensive blood pressure response on exercise; SYN = syncope; TWA = T wave alternans; Sens. = sensitivity; Pos. pred. value = positive predictive value.
p value is based on chi square analysis of individual risk factors in patients with and without history of cardiac arrest.

 

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